Inflation
$$\text{Inflation Rate} = \frac{\text{CPI}_{\text{current}} - \text{CPI}_{\text{previous}}}{\text{CPI}_{\text{previous}}} \times 100$$
What is Inflation?
Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services rises over time, reducing the purchasing power of money. It is measured using a price index - most commonly the Consumer Price Index (CPI) - which tracks the cost of a fixed basket of typical household purchases month by month.
Central banks in most developed economies target roughly 2% annual inflation. Mild inflation is considered healthy because it encourages spending (items cost more later, so buy now) and allows businesses to adjust wages and prices gradually. Deflation - falling prices - is generally considered more dangerous because it triggers delayed purchases and debt deflation spirals.
Inflation explained to a beginner
Imagine a coffee costs $2 today. If inflation runs at 3% per year, that same coffee costs $2.06 next year, $2.25 in five years, and $4.85 in thirty years. Your dollar has not disappeared - but it buys less each year.
A 3% annual inflation rate halves the purchasing power of your money in about 24 years. This is why savings accounts that pay below the inflation rate are quietly losing real value.
When to use Inflation
Use the inflation rate when comparing prices, wages, or values from different time periods. A salary of $50,000 in 1990 was worth far more in real terms than $50,000 in 2025 - adjusting for CPI gives the true comparison. Inflation data is also central to interest rate policy, bond pricing, pension planning, and any real vs. nominal return analysis.
Worked examples for Inflation
This table quickly gives you the overview you need to understand Inflation and its most important comparisons.
| Year | US CPI-U | Annual rate | Value of $100 (in 2025 $) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1913 | 9.9 | baseline | $3,238 |
| 1950 | 24.1 | +3.1% | $1,329 |
| 1973 | 44.4 | +6.2% | $721 |
| 1980 | 82.4 | +13.5% | $389 |
| 2000 | 172.2 | +3.4% | $186 |
| 2010 | 218.1 | +1.6% | $147 |
| 2022 | 292.7 | +8.0% | $109 |
| 2025 | 320.6 | +2.3% | $100 |
Common pitfalls
CPI measures the average price change for a typical household basket. Your personal inflation rate may differ significantly depending on your spending pattern. Homeowners experience different inflation than renters; heavy commuters are hit harder by fuel price spikes. Core inflation (excluding food and energy) is a separate measure used by central banks to filter out volatile items. Do not confuse the inflation rate (%) with the price level (index): an inflation rate of 0% does not mean prices fell - it means they stopped rising.
Frequently asked questions about Inflation
What is the difference between CPI and core inflation?
CPI measures all items in the household basket, including food and energy, which are volatile. Core inflation removes food and energy to give a cleaner signal of underlying price trends. Central banks focus on core inflation because supply shocks in food or oil markets are temporary - monetary policy cannot fix a crop failure. The Fed targets PCE inflation (a related but different index) rather than CPI directly.
Is a 2% inflation target standard worldwide?
Not universally, but 2% has become the de facto global standard for developed economies. The US Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, and Reserve Bank of Australia all target approximately 2% annual CPI or PCE inflation. Emerging markets often target higher rates - India targets 4%, Brazil has a 3% target. The 2% threshold balances the benefits of mild inflation against the risks of deflation.
Why does inflation hurt people on fixed incomes most?
Fixed-income recipients - retirees on fixed pensions, holders of fixed-rate bonds, workers without cost-of-living adjustments - receive the same nominal payment each year. As prices rise, each payment buys less. A $2,000 monthly pension in 2000 had the buying power of roughly $3,360 by 2024. Without a COLA adjustment, the pensioner effectively took a 40% real pay cut over that period.
Quiz: how well do you know inflation?
1. What does a CPI reading of 300 mean when the base year was set at 100?
2. Which of these best describes "deflation"?
3. According to the examples table, approximately what was the value of $100 in 1980 money when expressed in 2025 dollars?